The titans of finance Goldman Sachs and Bloomberg both say Brazil.
Using a clever monte carlo statistical analysis. The same one which has created 5+ years of global recession probably.
Eminent scientist Stephen Hawkins says not England. ( You don't become a Professor for being stupid) . He also mentions hosts often win 30%. See 1966, 1998 etc
Brazil are the 3/1 favourite at the bookies but bookies are pandering to the masses.
Looking at Brazil's team on paper though they don't look the best. Argentina's do. Neymar, Oscar, Hulk vs Di Maria, Messi, Aguero.
But if World cups get won by the team with the best individual players then Wales might have a chance and we cant see Portugal doing well either.
Brazil are ranked 9th below Argentina, Columbia and Uruguay.
Will the expectation and internal protests undermine their confidence.
They no longer have the same plethora of star players. Neymar is the new star but he has been injured and his form for Barcelona with only 17 goals compared to Messi's 41 hasn't been that amazing. Rooney's scored the same number of goals in 15 less games for a struggling team.
Scolari has got them playing in a more pressing style. Borrowing from Borussia Dortmund's gegenpressen
Brazil tactics
We think based on the "expect the unexpected" technique and zero statistical analysis we predict
Semis
Brazil vs Germany - Germany could provide a shock as they can out gegenpressen the gegenpressen's as you say in Deutsch. They will also win on penalties as they always do.
Spain vs Argentina - Argentina to win
Final
Argentina vs Germany - Argentina win
Other possible suprises, dark horses England to win group beat Spain in quarter finals. Beat Argentina. Beat Germany in final
or Belgium beat everyone meet Brazil in final and win in biggest shock since Euro 2004
So final will be one of
1. Germany - Argentina
2. England - Germany
3. Belgium - Brazil
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